லயோலா கல்லூரி பெங்களூர் நடத்திய கர்னாடகா மக்கள் எண்ண வாக்கெடுப்பில், பாஜகவே மிக அதிக ஆதரவு பெற்று ஆட்சி அமைக்க வாய்ப்புள்ளதாக தெரியவருகிறது.
முஸ்லீம்கள் மத்தியில் ஜனதா தளத்தைவிட பாஜகவுக்கே ஆதரவு அதிகம் இருப்பது தெரியவந்துள்ளது. முஸ்லீம்கள் 23 சதவீதம் பாஜகவுக்கு ஆதரவளிக்கிறார்கள். ஜனதா தளத்துக்கு 15 சதவீத அளவே ஆதரவளிக்கிறார்கள்.
கிறிஸ்துவர்கள் மத்தியில் பாரதிய ஜனதாவுக்கு 25 சதவீத ஆதரவு உள்ளது.
மாநிலத்தின் எல்லா பகுதியினரிலும் பாஜகவுக்கு பெருவாரியான ஆதரவு இருப்பதையும் லயோலா கல்லூரி ஆய்வு தெரிவித்துள்ளது.
Assembly polls: survey puts BJP ahead
Special Correspondent
‘Yeddyurappa has good chance of becoming Chief Minister ’
Kumaraswamy emerged as the second favourite, with 37.6 per cent
Another survey planned before elections
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BANGALORE: An opinion poll on the Assembly elections conducted by St. Joseph’s College, Bangalore, and the Centre for People Studies, Loyola College, Chennai has shown the BJP as a clear favourite, and its chief ministerial candidate B.S. Yeddyurappa as having 49.1 per cent chance of becoming Chief Minister again.
Giving details of the survey, leader of the team S. Rajanayagam of the Loyola College said that the study was conducted in 24 districts.
The opinion of 2,580 people was taken, out of which 40 per cent were from urban areas and the rest from rural areas.
Other leaders
The findings put H.D. Kumaraswamy as the second favourite, with 37.6 per cent chances of becoming Chief Minister, followed by S.M. Krishna (5.7 per cent), N. Dharam Singh (4.3 per cent) and Siddaramaiah (1.1 per cent).
In competence level also, Mr. Yeddyurappa scored 45.1 per cent, followed by Mr. Kumaraswamy with 25.8 per cent.
Factors
The survey, which took several factors including the voting in 2004, indicated that the BJP had 78.1 per cent chances of getting the votes of those who supported it in 2004.
The Congress was predicted to get 24.3 per cent of votes and the Janata Dal (S) 33.3 per cent of the votes cast in their favour in 2004.
Among the new voters, 18.9 per cent chose the BJP, 78.4 per cent the Congress and 1.4 per cent the Janata Dal (S).
Of the old voters, 50 per cent preferred the BJP, 25.6 per cent the Congress and 13.8 per cent the Janata Dal (S).
Sixty-two per cent of the respondents indicated that one party with simple majority would be voted to power while only 25 per cent favoured a coalition government and 13 per cent said that one party with external support would be in power.
The BJP was also popular among various sections of respondents.
The section on religion-based voting showed that BJP got 50 per cent support among Hindu respondents while Congress secured 30.7 per cent and the Janata Dal (S) 12.6 per cent.
Among Muslims, 21.7 per cent voted for BJP, 42.2 per cent favoured the Congress and 15.7 per cent the Janata Dal (S).
Among Christians 25 per cent chose BJP, 50 per cent Congress and 25 per cent Janata Dal (S).
Accuracy
Dr. Rajanayagam said the surveys conducted by them during the last elections in Tamil Nadu revealed that their findings were 95 per cent accurate.
He stated that there would be another survey before the elections in Karnataka.
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